Capper Penguin's NBA Tuesday Triple Play - 10/25

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I want to start off these three plays by saying that the Detroit defense is not good, especially away from home. They're allowing 127 points per game on the road this year and, on average, 119.13 PPG in their last 8 away games. They're even allowing 122.86 PPG in their last 7 overall hitting the set over in each game (only reason I'm not taking the over is because of the Wizards defense).  With Bradley Beal in the lineup, Washington scored 119 & 121 vs Detroit and even 116 without him LG. Automatically we can assume that Washington will be putting up points/stats.

Bradley Beal should be a direct benefactor of the Pistons defensive struggles. He has killed them in the past dropping 25, 37, 17 (left game early in 3rd, would've covered easily), and 27 points in his last 4 vs DET. The 37, 17, and 27 point games were all at home, too. Bradley Beal has adjusted well to the Porzingis addition, but he hasn't really had a Bradley Beal type game yet this season and this is the perfect spot for it to happen. Regardless, he is still averaging 23 points per game covering in 2 of 3 games and is coming off a 27 point game vs a fairly tough Cavalier defense. Give me Brad's points at home coming off a loss vs a favorable opponent that he has fried in the past.

Playing into the Beal, DET defense narrative, Monte Morris should be another benefactor. Monte Morris is another underrated pick up for the Wizards as he serves as a low maintenance utility guy that seems to do whatever the team needs including rebounding and passing. He has covered this line in all 3 of his games as a Wizard with 9, 7 and 12 rebounds/assists and with the expected uptick in stats I don't have a good reason to think he won't cover again. With Detroit allowing the 5th most rebounds to PG and Morris feeding the ball to Beal and Porzingis, give me Monte to record 7 or more rebounds and assists.

🐧 Penguin's Picks:

  • Bradley Beal o22.5 points (-120 MGM)
  • (.5U) Monte Morris o6.5 rebounds and assists (-140 DK)
  • (.5U) Wizards TT o112.5 (-120 DK)
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