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Dallas Mavericks Vs Phoenix Suns Predictions & Betting Odds

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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Predictions & Betting Odds

Points Spread: Suns -5

The oddsmakers don’t really fancy the Dallas Mavericks’ chances in their season opener at Phoenix on Wednesday and you can’t really blame them for doing that. Dallas failed to address their number one issue this offseason after Jalen Brunson left in free agency and this team’s faith now lies in the hands of Luka Doncic more than ever. After a disappointing EuroBasket campaign, Doncic enters the season in what looks to be the best shape of his career so far.

Many people are tipping Luka for the MVP award, but a lot has to align for that to happen. Dallas did add Christian Wood and JaVale McGee which boosts their depth as well as paint scoring, but as we saw in the preseason it might take a while for everything to click. The last time the Mavs won at Phoenix in a regular season game was back in November of 2019.


It was a disappointing season last year for the Suns who failed to meet expectations in the playoffs, but they are hoping for another run with mostly the same group this year. Head coach Monty Williams and Deandre Ayton both got lengthy contract extensions in the offseason, that provides them with a solid foundation for years to come.

Chris Paul isn’t getting any younger, but he can still do it even at the tender age of 37. Devin Booker also has another year of experience under his belt, some people are tipping him to have a breakout year this season after a rough exit in the 2022 Playoffs. All in all, I really like this Phoenix team and with a 9 game win streak on the line I can see them beating the Mavs in the season opener. They won all 3 regular season meetings last year by 8, 8 and 7 points.

Total Points: Under 216.5

These two teams played contrasting styles of basketball last season – the Suns finished the year 5th in scoring at 114.8 points per game, while the Mavs ranked 2nd in defense allowing just 104.7 per game. This being the regular season opener for both sides, I feel like the trends from previous head-to-head meetings will carry over here. In the last 10 meetings the total has gone under in 6 of them, including 2 of the last 3 played last season.

Dallas is known for starting their season slowly on offense, if we look at just their games played in October we can see that their last 6 all went under the total. The loss of Brunson will be tough to compensate here, especially with the absence of three-point sharpshooter Davis Bertans. Phoenix also has a couple of injury worries with Jae Crowder, Landry Shamet and Cameron Payne all potentially sitting this one out. Because of all this I am leaning towards the under here, but not by a lot.

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