McBets' +1183 NBA Playoff Lotto Ticket - 4/21

Starting off the FlashPicks career with what else? That’s right a +1000 Lotto ticket. If you’ve been following for a while now you know that I like to spread these plays out through the night so we have something to root for in each game. Tonight is no different as we’re targeting Desmond Bane, Bogdanovic, and Klay.

Line is set at o3.5 and I think he clears this tonight. Pat Bev is going to be FIRED up at home to contain Ja, so Grizz offense will need Bane to knock down his shots. T’Wolves are 25th in the league allowing 13 3PFGM per game and give up the 5th most points to SG. That bodes well for us here. Bane has hit this mark at a 40% clip all season. He has also hit this in the L30 games at….40%. Guess what he’s done in the last 10? Yup, 40% (4/10). WHEN he clears 4 tonight, that would put him at 40% in the L5 (2/5). When that fourth three goes down for Des, we’ll turn our attention to game 2 and Bojan.

Line is at o21.5 which he’s cleared each of the first two games. In fact, he’s hit 25 in both games (26,25) and we all know D-Mitch doesn’t like to pass to Gobert. The Mavs are 23rd in SF D this season and it shows as Bog averages 23ppg against them. An added layer to this is how good DAL is against Guards. They rank 10th in SG Defense (Mitchell) and 1st vs the PG (Conley). Bog isn’t scared to shoot it either. He’s averaging 15 FG/g in his L5.

Now we’re two-thirds there and we are LOCKED in to this Warriors/Nuggets game. Take us home, Klay.

Klay seems to have found his rhythm, averaging over 5 threes made in his L5. Over that span he has attempted over 10 four times. Denver is brutal against the SG position ranking 30th in the league. Combine Klay’s 3-pt shooting volume and the nuggets allowing opposing teams to shoot a whopping 47% from the floor we may get to cash this baby in the 3rd Q.

When betting parlays it's always crucial you shop around for the best odds and this is the perfect example as to why.

bet365 have the best odds for all three legs of the McBets parlay for Thursday night:

• bet365 odds: +1183
• FanDuel odds: +1044

If you were to place $25 on this parlay you'd win $320 at bet365 compared to $286.

A nice $34 added onto your winnings!

And on top of the bigger odds & payout, bet365 also give new customers $200 in free bets when you bet $1 after signing up which you can clim by joining HERE.

Always check difference in lines from 4+ to o3.5, 25+ to o24.5, etc. At the time of this writing these were the best lines on FD. Let's Cash!