$FML went 2-1 on Monday night including an easy +210 cash!
He's got a full betting preview & three best bets for Tuesday's action below.
$FML went 2-1 on Monday night including an easy +210 cash!
He's got a full betting preview & three best bets for Tuesday's action below.
2/28 Recap
— FastMoneyLabs ($FML) (@FastMoneyLabs) March 1, 2022
Back on track 💰💰💰
Best bets for @flashpicks went 2-1 today including an easy +210!
Full Card sizzled. 5-2, +3.48 units tonight. Let’s build on it! | $FML 📈 pic.twitter.com/OrhnpUdFsA
It’s a fresh month, and we’re staring at a packed 9-game hockey slate. Just what the doctor ordered. If that doesn’t get your blood flowing then then rejoice - because it’s Tuesday!
I do not have a good explanation for this next stat - take it for whatever it’s worth to you - but for whatever reason, Tuesdays have been the 2nd highest scoring day in the NHL this year next to Mondays…
Happy Tuesday 🥂
— FastMoneyLabs ($FML) (@FastMoneyLabs) March 1, 2022
Beautiful day to target goal scoring props. Just locked in my first 2. Chances are you will not be surprised by these picks...😅 I'll tweet them next! | $FML pic.twitter.com/TyAL857Btv
Looking across the slate, I like today’s matchups’ chances at sustaining the trend. As such, let’s use today’s column to attack a game that I’m confident will do its part.
If you’re not buying my ‘day-of-the-week’ narrative, then let me riddle you this: this next matchup I’m about to highlight has a rich history of finishing ‘Over’ on all days of the week - not just Tuesdays.
In their last 3 meetings, these teams combined for 26 goals:
That’s an average of 8.67 goals per game in EDM/PHI matchups since 2019.
In the Connor McDavid era (since 2015), these teams have gone head-to-head 10 times with exciting results:
Entering tonight, these teams have combined for 7+ goals in 5 of their last 8 meetings. If the 2021 version of the matchup was any indication (Philly won 5-3) - we should expect another high-flying matchup tonight.
As far as predicting the winner, it’s been a good strategy to back the home team in this matchup. The Flyers won 3 of the 4 games in played at home, whereas Edmonton took 4 of 6 played in Canada. Tonight, the series returns to the City of Brotherly Love after two straight in Oiler country.
Despite the trend, I’m hesitant to blindly back the home team here. Yes - Edmonton lost 3 of their last 4 games, but the losses were at the hands of much tougher opponents (MIN, TBL, CAR) than Philly. Before that, the Oilers had won 5 straight games and 10 of their last 13.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is coming off a narrow 2-1 win vs. Washington but before that, they had lost 6 straight. On the season, they are just 9-18 (33%) against the moneyline in their home games.
While I didn’t personally back a side, I have a strong lean towards the Oilers. After facing a string of tough opponents, I feel tonight sizes up as a perfect get-right spot.
One factor leading me to be cautious about Edmonton relates to rest.
Rather than back a side, I prefer to attack the Game Total market. The line is currently sitting at o/u 6.5 (+100) at time of writing.
My preferred approach for this particular game is to buy down to the Key Number of 6 and back the ‘Over’ at what I feel is a reasonable price of -130. Doing so ensures we get our money back if they land exactly at 6 as they did twice in their last 10 meetings.
Hit rate comparison - last 10 PHI/EDM matchups
Riding the hot hand and backing the NHL’s best player to contribute scoring (and shots) in what sizes up to be a fast-paced, high-scoring matchup tonight!
In 10 career games vs. Philadelphia, Connor McDavid:
In the most recent matchup (October 2021), McDavid peppered Philly with 9 shots on goal. He also covered today’s shots on goal line in 5 of his last 6 games, including 3/3 on this road trip vs. tougher opponents (CAR, FLA, TBL).
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CLAIM NOWSticking with the NHL for this edition of Moneyline Tuesday as there are only two NBA lines currently less than -200. Insane. Sick League. On the ice we're going with the Panthers,...