MCbets' NHL Wednesday Pucks Picks - 11/2

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Two Game NHL Slate tonight and were looking for the Maple Leafs to turn it around after losing 4 straight. Heavy favorites on the ML at -330 I think they take advantage of the Flyers playing in OT last night at MSG, and starting their backup goalie tonight. 

The Leafs just wrapped up a 5-game western road trip going 1-4 and losing two of those in OT. Back home and rested up for two days while the Flyers traveled late last night for the quick turnaround. This lethal TOR offense has been struggling to get going and tonight provides the perfect opportunity with the Flyers (most likely) starting backup Felix Sandstrom. Sandstrom is 0-2 with a 3.13 GAA on the year. 

Let's lock in Maple Leafs -1.5 Puck Line (-135 Caesars)

Sticking with this game we're going to look at Power Play Points which is a fun +money prop on the ice. The flyers are shorthanded over 10 mins per game and The Leafs currently have the 9th best PP in the NHL, scoring just north of 24% of their chances. Not a good matchup for the Flyers. You can only go so far in terms of killing Power Plays when you are allowing over 35 shots on goal per game and probably starting your backup goalie. They killed all three Penalties last night against the Rangers so the odds are the Leafs get one tonight just on that alone. 

Now that we are all in agreement that the Leafs WILL score on the PP tonight, it's just a matter of who is involved.

Since these are +money we can split a unit on two guys and still come out on top. 

First, Im going to look at John Tavares of the Maple Leafs tonight at +120. He has had a PPP in 6/L10 and has actually been shooting the puck a lot more as of late. Pucks on net, pucks on net. He quarterbacks the 1st unit and sees an average of 4 mins of PP time per game. With PHI taking roughly 6 penalties per game there is a chance it is even higher tonight. 

The second player i'm looking at for a Point on the man advantage is Defenseman Morgan Reilly of the Maple Leafs at +200. He is on the first unit with Tavares (you cant parlay these, but they can both hit on the same event) so he sees a lot of minutes on the Power Play. Look for a shot from reilly to either go in, or get a tip in front. 

MCbets' Puck Picks

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