The Kansas City Chiefs this season are vying for an unprecedented three consecutive Super Bowl Wins, after securing a bye and resting last week the Chiefs open their playoff schedule at home to the Houston Texans. This is the second time these two teams have met this season after playing just before Christmas in Arrowhead, in which the Texans were holding their own before an injury to Tank Dell rocked their offense. The Texans’ offense on wildcard weekend looked good though, scoring 32 points and having a 100 yard rusher in Joe Mixon as well as a 100 yard receiver in Nico Collins. Both Mixon and Collins will be key on Saturday if the Texans are to at least come close to upsetting the Chiefs. If the Texans can again score significant points then the Chiefs offense may need to do something that they have only done twice this season and score at least 30 points. We don’t think Kansas City’s offense will be able to score enough points to completely breakaway from the Texans this week and we think Houston will cover the large spread.

The Washington Commanders have been one of the biggest surprise packages of the NFL this season. Before the season started their win line was only 6.5, but led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels they reached 12 regular season wins and secured a wildcard berth. The season got even better with a win in this wildcard game in Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football, which now means they will head to Detroit to take on the Lions. The Lions were resting last week thanks to their bye as a result of being the number one seed in the NFC and will come into this game looking to end Jayden Daniels’ historic season. However, the Commanders and Daniels will be playing without pressure and we expect them to impress on Saturday offensively against the Lions defense which despite the rest is still missing 12 players with injury. We’re taking the Washington Commanders to cover the largest spread of the divisional round this week.

The Los Angeles Ram travel to Philadelphia this week to take on the Eagles for the second time this season. In this matchup in Los Angeles Saquon Barkley took over the game, rushing for 255 yards and two touchdowns. In the Wildcard round against the Green Bay Packers, Saquon and the Eagles’ run game once again took over but the passing game struggled, as it has done most of the season. Jalen Hurts once again threw for under 200 yards, as he has done seven times this season. This week he will face the Rams’ defense which are in elite form, when playing starters they kept their last four opponents under 10 points and last week recorded a playoff record nine sacks. This week’s weather in Philadelphia is looking like it’s going to be a snow game and as a result we think it will become a defensive battle in which the Rams cover the relatively large spread.

This matchup is the biggest moneyline of the week with the Washington Commanders travelling up to Detroit to take on the number one seed Lions. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has had a historic first season in the NFL, which was capped off with a win in his first playoff appearance. Winning this week against the NFL’s number one scoring offense (33.2 PPG) would open conversations of one of the greatest rookie seasons ever. With Detroit’s defensive injuries Daniels should be able to move the ball freely with confidence much like in the wildcard round. We think this week’s matchup could end up being a shootout and if Daniels can hold his nerve using both his arm and legs, then the Commanders could upset the Lions.

The Los Angeles Rams fresh off upsetting the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football come into Philadelphia on Sunday afternoon looking to upset the Eagles and move onto the NFC Championship. The Rams defense on Monday was again dominant, only allowing the Vikings to score 9 points and they also recorded a playoff record 9 sacks. Philadelphia’s passing offense struggled to generate significant production against the Packers and if the Rams defense can again play to the standard they have set since Week 15, they haven’t allowed more than 9 points in a game when playing starters since then. If the Rams defense can extend this streak then the Rams should be able to be able to progress to the conference championship.

The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens meet in the final divisional round matchup of the week with an opportunity for either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to move to their second AFC Championship appearance. The strength of these two teams all season long has been their offenses, which both averaged over 30 points per game in the regular season (Bills 30.9 PPG, 2nd most; Ravens 30.5 PPG, 3rd). These two teams are so evenly matched we think the home advantage may prove vital as it did back in 2021 when these two teams met in the divisional round in Buffalo. We think Josh Allen will right the wrongs of losing the past two AFC Championships and win this week.